The Governor is in Europe looking for jobs. There have been some
barbs thrown at him because he’s in England & Germany while we’re
here digging out from record setting snow falls. I have no problem with
his trip to Europe — his job is to help employment in Delaware. I hope
that he is amazingly successful. If he can convince Fraunhofer to
expand it’s scientific research activity in Delaware, that would be
great. If he can convince Barclays and HSBC to bring more financial
services jobs to Delaware, I’m all for it. If AstraZeneca chooses to
expand employment in Delaware, we all benefit.
And let’s be honest… Delaware needs the jobs, more than almost any other State in the Nation. Let me explain why:
Number 1: According to the Delaware-based think tank, the Caesar Rodney Institute (It’s website can be found here):
Over the past decade Delaware personal income has been
growing at about the same rate as the nation. Since Delaware population
growth has exceeded the nation’s, per capita income in Delaware has
dropped from 4% above the nation to less than 1% above today. This per
capita income convergence is driven by demographics and the changing
structure of the state’s economy…
At the same time, wage and salary income growth has fallen behind
the nation due to a series of structural hits on the state’s economy.
Financial services stopped growing and job cuts in the industry tended
to focus on the higher wage positions. Automobile manufacturing
disappeared. The chemical industry continued to shrink. Most job growth
occurred in the lower wage industries such as retail trade and tourism
or in healthcare where wages are average.
Number 2: According to
the United States Department of Commerce, in 2008 Delaware tied for the
second worst economic decline in the nation — a 1.6% decline in GDP. We
were second to Alaska which got hit due to cheaper oil. According to
the Commerce Department, “In Delaware, the contraction was due to a
significant decline in finance and insurance.” While the Commerce
Department also reports that “Delaware’s per capita real GDP of $56,401
was the highest in the nation”, item Number 1 above demonstrates that
the trend is not favorable to keep our number 1 ranking.
Number 3: I have blogged
previously about Delaware’s last place ranking by the Kauffman
Foundation. Kauffman found in 2007 that “The five states with the
lowest rates of entrepreneurial activity were Michigan, Pennsylvania,
South Carolina, Illinois and Delaware,” and yet Kauffman also found
that “Delaware, Massachusetts, Minnesota, California and Connecticut
top the list of states that are leaders in innovation as measured by
international patent applications…”
There is a huge dichotomy here. Delaware ranks at the bottom in
entrepreneurial activity, but at the top in patent applications. The
answer? The scientists all work for large corporate entities. These
entities can move this knowledge elsewhere to develop. We don’t have
entrepreneurs working in their “garage”. It is the next Apple or
Microsoft that will drive future employment, and they are not being
formed here.
Number 4: According to The Atlantic magazine (The whole article can be found here), Delaware tied for the 6th worst state in the Nation in 2009 in terms of job creation. According to the article:
The states listed in the northeast mostly felt the burn
of the financial crisis. Even though the big banks have largely
recovered, thousands of jobs were lost in financial services during the
recession. The companies that remain aren’t in a hurry to ramp up their
hiring yet.
Summary: Delaware’s economic assets are almost
exclusively tied to large companies who are ambivalent about the local
economic environment of Delaware. The Minner-Carney Administration
spent 8 years ignoring the changing economic landscape to the point
that Delaware’s entrepreneurial activity has almost stopped. Governor
Markell spent his first year grasping at the sports betting gambit and
touting “green” jobs as our co-saviors while government employment was
not curtailed and taxes on small businesses were raised.
He is right to be in Europe, and I hope that he is successful.
However, this trip won’t solve the basic problem… Delaware remains a
lousy place to start and grow a high-tech/bio-tech business, and you
won’t find a solution to that in Europe.
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